CovidV2, an2020, Analysis, bibRecord, 000C67

A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.

Identifieur interne : 000C67 ( an2020/Analysis ); précédent : 000C66; suivant : 000C68

A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.

Source :

International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases [ 1878-3511 ] ; 2020.

RBID : pubmed:32145465

Abstract

The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019, has claimed more than 2600 lives as of 24 February 2020 and posed a huge threat to global public health. The Chinese government has implemented control measures including setting up special hospitals and travel restriction to mitigate the spread. We propose conceptual models for the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan with the consideration of individual behavioural reaction and governmental actions, e.g., holiday extension, travel restriction, hospitalisation and quarantine. We employe the estimates of these two key components from the 1918 influenza pandemic in London, United Kingdom, incorporated zoonotic introductions and the emigration, and then compute future trends and the reporting ratio. The model is concise in structure, and it successfully captures the course of the COVID-19 outbreak, and thus sheds light on understanding the trends of the outbreak.

DOI: 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.058
PubMed: 32145465

Affiliations:

Links to Exploration step

pubmed:32145465

Le document en format XML

<record><TEI><teiHeader><fileDesc><titleStmt><title xml:lang="en">A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.</title>
<author><name sortKey="Lin, Qianying" sort="Lin, Qianying" uniqKey="Lin Q" first="Qianying" last="Lin">Qianying Lin</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Michigan Institute for Data Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. Electronic address: qianying@umich.edu.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Michigan Institute for Data Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><region type="state">Michigan</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Zhao, Shi" sort="Zhao, Shi" uniqKey="Zhao S" first="Shi" last="Zhao">Shi Zhao</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China. Electronic address: shi.zhao@link.cuhk.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Shenzhen</settlement>
<region type="province">Guangdong</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université chinoise de Hong Kong</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Gao, Daozhou" sort="Gao, Daozhou" uniqKey="Gao D" first="Daozhou" last="Gao">Daozhou Gao</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Mathematics and Science College, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China. Electronic address: dzgao@shnu.edu.cn.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Mathematics and Science College, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Shanghai</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Lou, Yijun" sort="Lou, Yijun" uniqKey="Lou Y" first="Yijun" last="Lou">Yijun Lou</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: yijun.lou@polyu.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Yang, Shu" sort="Yang, Shu" uniqKey="Yang S" first="Shu" last="Yang">Shu Yang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>College of Medical Information Engineering, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China. Electronic address: sishiyu1978@qq.com.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>College of Medical Information Engineering, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Chengdu</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Musa, Salihu S" sort="Musa, Salihu S" uniqKey="Musa S" first="Salihu S" last="Musa">Salihu S. Musa</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: salihu-sabiu.musa@connect.polyu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Wang, Maggie H" sort="Wang, Maggie H" uniqKey="Wang M" first="Maggie H" last="Wang">Maggie H. Wang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China. Electronic address: maggiew@cuhk.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Shenzhen</settlement>
<region type="province">Guangdong</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université chinoise de Hong Kong</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cai, Yongli" sort="Cai, Yongli" uniqKey="Cai Y" first="Yongli" last="Cai">Yongli Cai</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an, China. Electronic address: yonglicai@hytc.edu.cn.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Huai'an</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Wang, Weiming" sort="Wang, Weiming" uniqKey="Wang W" first="Weiming" last="Wang">Weiming Wang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an, China. Electronic address: weimingwang2003@163.com.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Huai'an</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Yang, Lin" sort="Yang, Lin" uniqKey="Yang L" first="Lin" last="Yang">Lin Yang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>School of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: l.yang@polyu.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="He, Daihai" sort="He, Daihai" uniqKey="He D" first="Daihai" last="He">Daihai He</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: daihai.he@polyu.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
</titleStmt>
<publicationStmt><idno type="wicri:source">PubMed</idno>
<date when="2020">2020</date>
<idno type="RBID">pubmed:32145465</idno>
<idno type="pmid">32145465</idno>
<idno type="doi">10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.058</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Corpus">000741</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Corpus" wicri:corpus="PubMed">000741</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Curation">000741</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="PubMed" wicri:step="Curation">000741</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/PubMed/Checkpoint">000B94</idno>
<idno type="wicri:explorRef" wicri:stream="Checkpoint" wicri:step="PubMed">000B94</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Merge">000E40</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Curation">000E40</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Ncbi/Checkpoint">000E40</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Merge">000C69</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Curation">000C67</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/Main/Exploration">000C67</idno>
<idno type="wicri:Area/an2020/Extraction">000C67</idno>
</publicationStmt>
<sourceDesc><biblStruct><analytic><title xml:lang="en">A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.</title>
<author><name sortKey="Lin, Qianying" sort="Lin, Qianying" uniqKey="Lin Q" first="Qianying" last="Lin">Qianying Lin</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="2"><nlm:affiliation>Michigan Institute for Data Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA. Electronic address: qianying@umich.edu.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">États-Unis</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Michigan Institute for Data Science, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><region type="state">Michigan</region>
</placeName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Zhao, Shi" sort="Zhao, Shi" uniqKey="Zhao S" first="Shi" last="Zhao">Shi Zhao</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China. Electronic address: shi.zhao@link.cuhk.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Shenzhen</settlement>
<region type="province">Guangdong</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université chinoise de Hong Kong</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Gao, Daozhou" sort="Gao, Daozhou" uniqKey="Gao D" first="Daozhou" last="Gao">Daozhou Gao</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Mathematics and Science College, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai, China. Electronic address: dzgao@shnu.edu.cn.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Mathematics and Science College, Shanghai Normal University, Shanghai</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Shanghai</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Lou, Yijun" sort="Lou, Yijun" uniqKey="Lou Y" first="Yijun" last="Lou">Yijun Lou</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: yijun.lou@polyu.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Yang, Shu" sort="Yang, Shu" uniqKey="Yang S" first="Shu" last="Yang">Shu Yang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>College of Medical Information Engineering, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu, China. Electronic address: sishiyu1978@qq.com.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>College of Medical Information Engineering, Chengdu University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Chengdu</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Chengdu</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Musa, Salihu S" sort="Musa, Salihu S" uniqKey="Musa S" first="Salihu S" last="Musa">Salihu S. Musa</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: salihu-sabiu.musa@connect.polyu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Wang, Maggie H" sort="Wang, Maggie H" uniqKey="Wang M" first="Maggie H" last="Wang">Maggie H. Wang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="4"><nlm:affiliation>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China. Electronic address: maggiew@cuhk.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen</wicri:regionArea>
<placeName><settlement type="city">Shenzhen</settlement>
<region type="province">Guangdong</region>
</placeName>
<orgName type="university">Université chinoise de Hong Kong</orgName>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Cai, Yongli" sort="Cai, Yongli" uniqKey="Cai Y" first="Yongli" last="Cai">Yongli Cai</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an, China. Electronic address: yonglicai@hytc.edu.cn.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Huai'an</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Wang, Weiming" sort="Wang, Weiming" uniqKey="Wang W" first="Weiming" last="Wang">Weiming Wang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an, China. Electronic address: weimingwang2003@163.com.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Mathematics and Statistics, Huaiyin Normal University, Huai'an</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Huai'an</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="Yang, Lin" sort="Yang, Lin" uniqKey="Yang L" first="Lin" last="Yang">Lin Yang</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>School of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: l.yang@polyu.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>School of Nursing, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
<author><name sortKey="He, Daihai" sort="He, Daihai" uniqKey="He D" first="Daihai" last="He">Daihai He</name>
<affiliation wicri:level="1"><nlm:affiliation>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: daihai.he@polyu.edu.hk.</nlm:affiliation>
<country xml:lang="fr">République populaire de Chine</country>
<wicri:regionArea>Department of Applied Mathematics, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong</wicri:regionArea>
<wicri:noRegion>Hong Kong</wicri:noRegion>
</affiliation>
</author>
</analytic>
<series><title level="j">International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases</title>
<idno type="eISSN">1878-3511</idno>
<imprint><date when="2020" type="published">2020</date>
</imprint>
</series>
</biblStruct>
</sourceDesc>
</fileDesc>
<profileDesc><textClass></textClass>
</profileDesc>
</teiHeader>
<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">The ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak, emerged in Wuhan, China in the end of 2019, has claimed more than 2600 lives as of 24 February 2020 and posed a huge threat to global public health. The Chinese government has implemented control measures including setting up special hospitals and travel restriction to mitigate the spread. We propose conceptual models for the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan with the consideration of individual behavioural reaction and governmental actions, e.g., holiday extension, travel restriction, hospitalisation and quarantine. We employe the estimates of these two key components from the 1918 influenza pandemic in London, United Kingdom, incorporated zoonotic introductions and the emigration, and then compute future trends and the reporting ratio. The model is concise in structure, and it successfully captures the course of the COVID-19 outbreak, and thus sheds light on understanding the trends of the outbreak.</div>
</front>
</TEI>
<affiliations><list><country><li>République populaire de Chine</li>
<li>États-Unis</li>
</country>
<region><li>Guangdong</li>
<li>Michigan</li>
</region>
<settlement><li>Shenzhen</li>
</settlement>
<orgName><li>Université chinoise de Hong Kong</li>
</orgName>
</list>
<tree><country name="États-Unis"><region name="Michigan"><name sortKey="Lin, Qianying" sort="Lin, Qianying" uniqKey="Lin Q" first="Qianying" last="Lin">Qianying Lin</name>
</region>
</country>
<country name="République populaire de Chine"><region name="Guangdong"><name sortKey="Zhao, Shi" sort="Zhao, Shi" uniqKey="Zhao S" first="Shi" last="Zhao">Shi Zhao</name>
</region>
<name sortKey="Cai, Yongli" sort="Cai, Yongli" uniqKey="Cai Y" first="Yongli" last="Cai">Yongli Cai</name>
<name sortKey="Gao, Daozhou" sort="Gao, Daozhou" uniqKey="Gao D" first="Daozhou" last="Gao">Daozhou Gao</name>
<name sortKey="He, Daihai" sort="He, Daihai" uniqKey="He D" first="Daihai" last="He">Daihai He</name>
<name sortKey="Lou, Yijun" sort="Lou, Yijun" uniqKey="Lou Y" first="Yijun" last="Lou">Yijun Lou</name>
<name sortKey="Musa, Salihu S" sort="Musa, Salihu S" uniqKey="Musa S" first="Salihu S" last="Musa">Salihu S. Musa</name>
<name sortKey="Wang, Maggie H" sort="Wang, Maggie H" uniqKey="Wang M" first="Maggie H" last="Wang">Maggie H. Wang</name>
<name sortKey="Wang, Weiming" sort="Wang, Weiming" uniqKey="Wang W" first="Weiming" last="Wang">Weiming Wang</name>
<name sortKey="Yang, Lin" sort="Yang, Lin" uniqKey="Yang L" first="Lin" last="Yang">Lin Yang</name>
<name sortKey="Yang, Shu" sort="Yang, Shu" uniqKey="Yang S" first="Shu" last="Yang">Shu Yang</name>
</country>
</tree>
</affiliations>
</record>

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

EXPLOR_STEP=$WICRI_ROOT/Wicri/Sante/explor/CovidV2/Data/an2020/Analysis

HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_STEP/biblio.hfd -nk 000C67 | SxmlIndent | more

HfdSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/an2020/Analysis/biblio.hfd -nk 000C67 | SxmlIndent | more

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

{{Explor lien
   |wiki=    Wicri/Sante
   |area=    CovidV2
   |flux=    an2020
   |étape=   Analysis
   |type=    RBID
   |clé=     pubmed:32145465
   |texte=   A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.
}}

Pour générer des pages wiki

HfdIndexSelect -h $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/an2020/Analysis/RBID.i   -Sk "pubmed:32145465" \
       | HfdSelect -Kh $EXPLOR_AREA/Data/an2020/Analysis/biblio.hfd   \
       | NlmPubMed2Wicri -a CovidV2

This area was generated with Dilib version V0.6.33.
Data generation: Sat Mar 28 17:51:24 2020. Site generation: Sun Jan 31 15:35:48 2021

Serveur d'exploration Covid (26 mars)

A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.

A conceptual model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Wuhan, China with individual reaction and governmental action.

Source :

Abstract

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

Links to Exploration step

Le document en format XML

Pour manipuler ce document sous Unix (Dilib)

Pour mettre un lien sur cette page dans le réseau Wicri

Pour générer des pages wiki

	Serveur d'exploration Covid (26 mars)
	Attention, ce site est en cours de développement ! Attention, site généré par des moyens informatiques à partir de corpus bruts. Les informations ne sont donc pas validées.